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Science

Hector is an open source, object-oriented, simple global climate carbon-cycle model. Greenhouse gases (GHGs) and aerosols are emitted into the atmosphere, where the GHGs accumulate. The GHG concentrations and aerosol emissions impact the Earth’s radiative forcing budget. Hector’s temperature component (which is based on DOECLIM1, a diffusion ocean-energy balance) uses total radiative forcing to calculate mean global air temperature from sea-surface and land-surface temperature anomalies. Hector returns global mean air surface temperate (GMAT), land surface temperature, and ocean surface temperature which can be used to calculate global mean surface temperature (see here for more details). DOECLIM simulates the different rates of warming over land and ocean surfaces global mean surface temperature, meaning that the land-ocean warming ratio is an emergent property of Hector. However, users do have the option to provide a land-ocean warming ratio to be used in place of DOECLIM’s internal calculations (see here for an example and more details about this feature).

Implementation

  1. Emissions are read into Hector by their Hector components where they are prepared to be passed to the forcing_component. For example, black carbon (BC) emissions are read into Hector by the bc_component whereas methane emissions are read in by ch4_component. The aerosol components (bc_component,oc_component, so2_component, and nh3_component) can directly pass the emissions to the forcing_component whereas GHG emissions such as methane must first be converted to concentrations.
  2. Effective radiative forcing for each GHG concentration and aerosol is calculated based the IPCC AR62. Additional sources of radiative forcing such changes in land albedo and volcanoes are added together to determine the total change in radiative forcing within the forcing_component.
  3. The forcing_component passes total radiative forcing to the temperature_component where DOECLIM3, a diffusion ocean-energy balance model, determines how the change in Earth’s radiative forcing budget manifests as changes in mean global air temperature from sea-surface and land-surface temperature anomalies.

Important note: for atmospheric CO2, the carbon cycle must be solved before Hector is able to calculate radiative forcing from CO2 because the temperature effects from CO2 are lagged in time.