5. Background Reading

Birnbaum, A., Lamontagne, J., Wild, T., Dolan, F., & Yarlagadda, B. (2022). Drivers of future physical water scarcity and its economic impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean. Earth’s Future 10, e2022EF002764.

Bryant, B. & Lempert, R. (2010). Thinking inside the box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(1), 34-49.

McJeon, H. C., Clarke, L., Kyle, P., Wise, M., Hackbarth, A., Bryant, B. P., & Lempert, R. J. (2011). Technology interactions among low-carbon energy technologies: what can we learn from a large number of scenarios?. Energy Economics, 33(4), 619-631.

Lamontagne, J. R., Reed, P. M., Link, R., Calvin, K. V., Clarke, L. E., & Edmonds, J. A. (2018). Large ensemble analytic framework for consequence‐driven discovery of climate change scenarios. Earth’s Future, 6(3), 488-504.

Lamontagne, J.R., Reed, P.M., Marangoni, G., Keller, K., & Garner, G.G. (2019). Robust abatement pathways to tolerable climate futures require immediate global action. Nat. Clim. Chang. 9, 290–294.

Dolan, F., Lamontagne, J., Link, R., Hejazi, M., Reed, P., & Edmonds, J. (2021). Evaluating the economic impact of water scarcity in a changing world. Nature communications, 12(1), 1915.

Guivarch, C., Le Gallic, T., Bauer, N., Fragkos, P., Huppman, D., Jaxa-Rozen, M. et al. (2022). Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights. Nat. Clim. Chang. 12, 428–435.

Huang, X., Srikrishnan, V., Lamontagne, J., Keller, K., & Peng, W. (2023). Effects of global climate mitigation on regional air quality and health. Nat. Sustain. 6, 1054–1066.

Reed, P. M., Hadjimichael, A., Moss, R. H., Brelsford, C., Burleyson, C. D., Cohen, S. et al. (2022). Multisector dynamics: Advancing the science of complex adaptive human-Earth systems. Earth’s Future, 10, e2021EF002621.

Reed, P. M., Hadjimichael, A., Moss, R. H., Monier, E., Alba, S., Brelsford, C. et al. (2022). MultiSector Dynamics: Scientific Challenges and a Research Vision for 2030, A Community of Practice Supported by the United States Department of Energy’s Office of Science. Zenodo.

Woodard, D. L., Snyder, A., Lamontagne, J. R., Tebaldi, C., Morris, J., Calvin, K. V., Binsted, M., & Patel, P. (2023). Scenario discovery analysis of drivers of solar and wind energy transitions through 2050. Earth’s Future, 11, e2022EF003442.