GCAM v3.2 Documentation: References

Documentation for GCAM
The Global Change Analysis Model

View the Project on GitHub JGCRI/gcam-doc


References

Selected GCAM Papers and Reports

Listed by chronologically by topic.

General Model Structure And Background

Kim, S.H., J.A. Edmonds, J. Lurz, S.J. Smith, and M. Wise (2006). “The ObjECTS Framework for Integrated Assessment: Hybrid Modeling of Transportation.” Energy Journal 27: 63-91.

Clarke, L., J. Edmonds, H. Jacoby, H. Pitcher, J. Reilly, and R. Richels. 2007a. CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product 2.1, Part A: Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations. U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington DC.<br>

Brenkert A, S Smith, S Kim, and H Pitcher. 2003. Model Documentation for the MiniCAM. PNNL-14337, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington.

Clarke JF and JA Edmonds. 1993. Modeling Energy Technologies in a Competitive Market. Energy Economics. 15(2):123-129.<br>

Edmonds J, M Wise, H Pitcher, R Richels, T Wigley, and C MacCracken. 1996. An Integrated Assessment of Climate Change and the Accelerated Introduction of Advanced Energy Technologies: An Application of MiniCAM 1.0. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 1(4):311-339.

Edmonds, J. and J. Reilly. 1985. Global Energy: Assessing the Future, Oxford University Press, New York. 1985.<br>

Edmonds, J. and J. Reilly. 1983. “Global Energy Production and Use to the Year 2050,” Energy, 8(6):419-32. Edmonds, J. and J. Reilly. 1983b. “Global Energy and CO2 to the Year 2050,” The Energy Journal, 4(3):21-47.<br>

Edmonds, J. and J. Reilly. 1983. “A Long-Term, Global, Energy-Economic Model of Carbon Dioxide Release From Fossil Fuel Use,” Energy Economics, 5(2):74-88. 

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Energy Transformation<br>

Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage (CCS)<br> Dooley, J.J., and R.T. Dahowski (2008). Large Scale U.S. Unconventional Fuels Production and the Role of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies in Reducing Their Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Presented at the 9th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, November 2008, Washington, D.C.

Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim.  2010.  “Large-Scale Utilization of Biomass Energy and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage in the Transport and Electricity Sectors under Stringent CO2 Concentration Limit Scenarios.”  International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(5):865-877.   <doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2010.06.002>.

Edmonds, J., J. Dooley, S. Kim, S. Friedman, and M. Wise. 2007. “Technology in an Integrated Assessment Model: The Potential Regional Deployment of Carbon Capture and Storage in the Context of Global CO2 Stabilization,” Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Perspective, (eds. Michael Schlesinger, Francisco C. de la Chesnaye, Haroon Kheshgi, Charles D. Kolstad, John Reilly, Joel B. Smith and Tom Wilson), Cambridge University Press. pp.181-197.

Dooley JJ, SH Kim, JA Edmonds, SJ Friedman, and MA Wise. 2005. A First Order Global Geologic CO2 Storage Potential Supply Curve and its Application in a Global Integrated Assessment Model. Pages 573-581 in Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, Volume I, eds ES Rubin, DW Keith, and CF Gilboy, Elsevier Science.

Dooley James J. and Friedman S.J. 2004. A Regionally disaggregated global accounting of CO2 storage capacity: data and assumptions. Battelle Pacific Northwest Division Technical Report Number PNWD-3431.<br> Renewables<br>Zhang, Y., SJ Smith, GP Kyle, and PW Stackhouse Jr. (2010) Modeling the Potential for Thermal Concentrating Solar Power Technologies Energy Policy, 38 pp. 7884-7897. <doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.09.00>.

Smith SJ, AC Volke, and S Delgado Arias (2010) Enhancement of Solar Energy Representation in the GCAM Model  PNNL-18829. <br>

Hannam, P., Kyle, P., and Smith, SJ (2010) Global Deployment of Geothermal Energy Using a New Characterization in GCAM 1.0 PNNL-19231.<br>

Zhang Y., and S.J. Smith, (2007) Long-Term Modeling of Solar Energy: Analysis of PV and CSP Technologies PNNL-16727.<br><br> <div><br></div>

End-Use Energy<br>

Buildings (Residential and Commercial)

Kyle G.P., L.E. Clarke, F. Rong, and S.J. Smith. 2010. Climate Policy and the Long-Term Evolution of the U.S. Buildings Sector. The Energy Journal 31(2): 145-172.<br>

Kyle, G.P., S.J. Smith, L.E. Clarke, S.H. Kim, and M.A. Wise (2007). The Value of End-Use Energy Efficiency in Mitigation of U.S. Carbon Emissions. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Richland, WA. Technical Report PNNL-17039.

Transportation <br>

Kyle, P., and S.H. Kim. 2011. Long-term implications of alternative light-duty vehicle technologies for global greenhouse gas emissions and primary energy demands. Energy Policy 39(5): 3012-3024.

Wise, M.A., G.P. Kyle, J.J. Dooley, and S.H. Kim. 2010. The impact of electric passenger transport technology under an economy-wide climate policy in the United States: carbon dioxide emissions, coal use, and carbon dioxide capture and storage. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(2):301-308.

Kim, S.H., J.A. Edmonds, J. Lurz, S.J. Smith, and M. Wise (2006). “The ObjECTS Framework for Integrated Assessment: Hybrid Modeling of Transportation.” Energy Journal 27: 63-91.

Industry

Wise, MA, P Sinha, SJ Smith, and JP Lurz (2007) Long-Term US Industrial Energy Use and CO2 Emissions. PNNL-17149. <div><br></div>

Agriculture and Land-Use<br>

Thomson AM, KV Calvin, LP Chini, G Hurtt, JA Edmonds, B Bond-Lamberty, S Frolking, MA Wise, and AC Janetos. 2010. “Climate mitigation and the future of tropical landscapes.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107(46):19633-19638 .

Gregg, J.S. and S.J. Smith (2010) Energy from Residue Biomass Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 15 (3), pp. 241–262. DOI: 10.1007/s11027-010-9215-4.<br>

Wise, MA, KV Calvin, AM Thomson, LE Clarke, B Bond-Lamberty, RD Sands, SJ Smith, AC Janetos, JA Edmonds. 2009b. Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy. Science. 324:1183-1186. May 29, 2009.<br>

Wise, M., K. Calvin, A. Thomson, L. Clarke, R. Sands, S.J. Smith, A. Janetos, and J. Edmonds. 2009. The Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Agriculture, Land-use Change Emissions, and Bioenergy. Technical Report. [PNNL-17943].<br>

Gillingham, Kenneth T., Steven J. Smith. and Ronald D. Sands (2008) Impact of Bioenergy Crops in a Carbon Constrained World: An Application of the MiniCAM Linked Energy-Agriculture and Land Use Model Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 13(7) p. 675-701.<br>

Sands, R., Leimbach, M. (2003) Modeling Agriculture and Land Use in an Integrated Assessment Framework. Climatic Change 56, 185–210.

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Climate Model and Non-CO2 Emissions

MAGICC Simple Climate Model

Smith, Steven J. and J.A. Edmonds (2006) The Economic Implications of Carbon Cycle Uncertainty Tellus B 58 (5), pp. 586–590.<br>

Wigley, T.M.L. and Raper, S.C.B. 2002. Reasons for larger warming projections in the IPCC Third Assessment Report J. Climate 15, 2945–2952.<br>

Wigley, T.M.L. and Raper, S.C.B. 1992. Implications for Climate And Sea-Level of Revised IPCC Emissions Scenarios Nature 357, 293–300.<br>

Raper, S.C.B., Wigley T.M.L. and Warrick R.A. 1996. in Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Subsidence: Causes, Consequences and Strategies J.D. Milliman, B.U. Haq, Eds., Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 11–45.

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Non-CO2 Emissions

Smith, S.J., J.J. West, and P. Kyle. 2011. Economically consistent long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions. Climatic Change 108: 619-627.

Smith, Steven J. and T.M.L. Wigley (2006) Multi-Gas Forcing Stabilization with the MiniCAM. Energy Journal (Special Issue #3) pp 373–391.

Smith, Steven J., Pitcher, H., and Wigley, T.M.L. (2005) Future Sulfur Dioxide Emissions. Climatic Change 73(3) pp. 267-318.

Smith, Steven J. (2005) Income and Pollutant Emissions in the ObjECTS MiniCAM Model. Journal of Environment and Development 14 (1) pp. 175–196.<br>

Additional Analysis Using GCAM

<div> Thomson AM, KV Calvin, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, AC Volke, PL Patel, S Delgado Arias, B Bond-Lamberty, MA Wise, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds (2011) RCP4.5: A Pathway for Stabilization of Radiative Forcing by 2100 Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0151-4

Van Vuuren, D, JA Edmonds, M Kainuma, K Riahi, AM Thomson, KA Hibbard, G Hurtt, T Kram, V Krey, JF Lamarque, matsui, M Meinhausen, N Nakicenovic, SJ Smith, and SK Rose.  2011.  “The Representative Concentration Pathways: An Overview.”  Climatic Change.  doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z.

Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, SH Kim, GP Kyle, SJ Smith, AM Thomson, and MA Wise (2009)  2.6: Limiting Climate Change to 450 ppm CO2 Equivalent in the 21st Century Energy Economics 31 S107-S120.

Kyle GP, LE Clarke, G Pugh, MA Wise, KV Calvin, JA Edmonds, and SH Kim. 2009. “The Value of Advanced Technology in Meeting 2050 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets in the United States.” Energy Economics 31(2):S254-S267.

Edmonds, J., L. Clarke, J. Lurz, M. Wise, 2008. Stabilizing CO2 concentrations with incomplete international cooperation, Climate Policy, 8, 355–376.

Edmonds, J., L. Clarke, M. Wise, H. Pitcher., and S. J. Smith (2008) Implications for the United States of Stabilization of Radiative Forcing at 3.4 W/m2 Climate Policy 8 pp. S76-S92

Clarke LE, GP Kyle, MA Wise, SH Kim, KV Calvin, JA Edmonds, M Placet, and SJ Smith (2008) CO2 Emissions Mitigation and Technological Advance: An Updated Analysis of Advanced Technology Scenarios. PNNL-18075.

Thomson, AM, RC Izaurralde, SJ Smith, LE Clarke (2008) Integrated estimates of global terrestrial carbon sequestration. Global Environmental Change 18(1):192-203.

Kyle, G.P., S.J. Smith, L.E. Clarke, S.H. Kim, and M.A. Wise (2007). The Value of End-Use Energy Efficiency in Mitigation of U.S. Carbon Emissions. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Richland, WA. Technical Report PNNL-17039.

Clarke LE, JP Lurz, MA Wise, JA Edmonds, SH Kim, HM Pitcher, and SJ Smith (2007) Model Documentation for the MiniCAM CCSP Stabilization Scenarios: CCSP Product 2.1a. PNNL-16735. Clarke L., M. Wise, S. Kim, A. Thomson, R. Izaurralde, J. Lurz, M. Placet, S. Smith, 2006. Climate Change Mitigation: An Analysis of Advanced Technology Scenarios, Technical Report PNNL-16078, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Clarke, L., J. Lurz, M. Wise, J. Edmonds, S. Kim, S. Smith, H. Pitcher. 2007b. Model Documentation for the MiniCAM Climate Change Science Program Stabilization Scenarios: CCSP Product 2.1a. PNNL Technical Report. PNNL-16735.

Edmonds J.A., and S.J. Smith (2006) “The Technology of Two Degrees” In: Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Schellnhuber, H J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G. (Eds) (Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press), pp. 385–392.

Sands, R.D. and J.A. Edmonds: 2005, Climate Change Impacts for the Conterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment, Part 7, Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change. Climatic Change 69(1):127-150

Edmonds, J.A. and N.J. Rosenberg: 2005, Climate Change Impacts for the Conterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment Summary, Climatic Change 69(1):151-162

Rosenberg, N.J. and J.A. Edmonds: 2005, Climate Change Impacts for the Conterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment: From MINK to the ‘Lower 48’. Climatic Change 69(1):1-6

Smith, S.J, Thomson, A.M., Rosenberg, N.J., Izaurralde, R.C., Brown, R.A., and Wigley, T.M.L.: 2005, Climate Change Impacts for the Conterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment, Part 1, Scenarios and Context. Climatic Change 69(1):7-25.

Placet M, KK Humphreys, and NM Mahasenan. 2004. Climate Change Technology Scenarios: Energy, Emissions, and Economic Implications. PNNL-14800, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA.

Edmonds JA, JF Clarke, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, and SJ Smith (2004) Modeling Greenhouse Gas Energy Technology Responses to Climate Change Energy 29(9-10) pp 1529-1536.<br>

Edmonds JA, JF Clarke, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, and SJ Smith (2004) Stabilization of CO2 in a B2 World: Insights on The Roles of Carbon Capture and Disposal, Hydrogen, and Transportation Technologies. Energy Economics 26(4) pp. 517-537.

Wigley T, R Richels, J Edmonds. 1996. Economic and Environmental Choices in the Stabilization of Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations. Nature 379(6562):240-243.<br> </div>